Tuesday, September 16th, 2014 17:27 GMT

You are viewing our operational model system. Due to a change in the availability of some of the raw files that this system uses to operate, this system required some updates. It was then moved here to make way for a new model system which will be installed in 2015. This system will continue to update here until then.

Atlantic:
Hurricane Edouard - 100 knots
East Pacific:

Tropical Cyclone Model & Best Track Archive

Page last updated with new data on Tuesday, September 16, 2014 15:30 Z. Map has latest best track data for active storms. | Large Map


North Atlantic Basin

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Hurricane Edouard (06L) - 2014

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  • NHC best track data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)
  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)

    NHC model error:

    Single Run Table Single Run Chart Average Table Average Chart Model Error

Model Intensity Diagrams ( View: Wind Speed | Pressure )

  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)

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  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)

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Best Track Position and Intensity as of:

Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z

Location at the time:

435 statue miles (700 km) to the ESE (106°) from Hamilton, Bermuda (GBR).

Wind (1 min. avg.):

100 knots (~115 mph | 51 m/s | 185 km/h)

Gusts:

120 knots (~138 mph | 62 m/s | 222 km/h)

Pressure:

955 mb (28.20 inHg | 955 hPa)

Coordinates:

30.6N 57.7W   How far away is this from me?

Source:

National Hurricane Center's (NHC) Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting (ATCF) System and not from any available advisory data


Eastern North Pacific Basin

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Tropical Storm Odile (15E) - 2014

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  • NHC best track data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)
  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)

    NHC model error:

    Single Run Table Single Run Chart Average Table Average Chart Model Error

Model Intensity Diagrams ( View: Wind Speed | Pressure )

  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)

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  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z)
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Decoded aircraft reconnaissance data for this storm

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Best Track Position and Intensity as of:

Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 12:00 Z

Location at the time:

64 statue miles (103 km) to the NW (316°) from Santa Rosalía, Baja California Sur, México.

Wind (1 min. avg.):

50 knots (~58 mph | 26 m/s | 93 km/h)

Pressure:

994 mb (29.36 inHg | 994 hPa)

Coordinates:

28.0N 113W   How far away is this from me?

Source:

National Hurricane Center's (NHC) Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting (ATCF) System and not from any available advisory data


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Tropical Storm (Invest 97E) - 2014

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  • NHC best track data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 6:00 Z)
  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 6:00 Z)

    NHC model error:

    Single Run Table Single Run Chart Average Table Average Chart Model Error

Model Intensity Diagrams ( View: Wind Speed | Pressure )

  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 6:00 Z)

View Model Wind Swaths in:

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  • NHC model data (Updated Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 6:00 Z)

Map of Raw ATCF Center Fixes

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Click here for the model archive for this storm >

Best Track Position and Intensity as of:

Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 6:00 Z

Location at the time:

376 statue miles (605 km) to the SSW (212°) from Salina Cruz, Oaxaca, México.

Wind (1 min. avg.):

35 knots (~40 mph | 18 m/s | 65 km/h)

Pressure:

1005 mb (29.68 inHg | 1005 hPa)

Coordinates:

11.6N 98.2W   How far away is this from me?

Source:

National Hurricane Center's (NHC) Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting (ATCF) System and not from any available advisory data


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Disturbance (98E) - 2014

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  • NHC best track data (Updated Monday, Sep. 15, 2014 18:00 Z)
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Best Track Position and Intensity as of:

Monday, Sep. 15, 2014 18:00 Z

Location at the time:

1,544 statue miles (2,484 km) to the ESE (117°) from Honolulu, on the island of Oahu, HI, USA.

Wind (1 min. avg.):

25 knots (~29 mph | 13 m/s | 46 km/h)

Coordinates:

11.3N 137W   How far away is this from me?

Source:

National Hurricane Center's (NHC) Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting (ATCF) System and not from any available advisory data


Central North Pacific Basin

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There are currently no active tropical systems in the Central North Pacific basin.



Disclaimer and Information About This Page
The current position and intensity of any storm on this page does not come from the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) for the Atlantic and East Pacific basins or the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) for the Central Pacific basin. For this important data you must refer to the agency responsible for issuing forecasts in the particular basin you are looking at. The current position and intensity on this page is provided to show what data the early cycle models initialized with.

An invest area, noted with a number from 90 to 99, represents an area that is being watched for possible development. Refer to the tropical outlooks at the NHC and the CPHC for guidance on the possibility of development from these areas and look for the latest official advisory data if the storm is a tropical depression or higher.

The best track data, model data and center fix data come from the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System (ATCF). Our site downloads the latest files from here and processes the data to be visually displayed. That system and the processing system our site uses may contain errors at times. Please consult the agency responsible for issuing forecasts in your basin, as this information, in addition to possibly containing errors from time to time, is only updated every 6 hours by the NHC. Updates made through regular and special forecast advisories may not be reflected here for three hours or more since ATCF data is usually offset from NHC advisory data by 3 hours. Normal ATCF update times are 0Z, 6Z, 12Z, and 18Z. Since the positions are valid at the time noted, it may take an hour for them to be posted to the ATCF system and then be downloaded by our site. Under most normal circumstances, best track data and NHC model data come in starting around 0:30, 6:30, 12:30, and 18:30Z on our site. (And it may be a half hour after that for late posted data.) Sometimes 6Z best track data may not be available for weaker storms. Normal NHC advisory update times are 3Z, 9Z, 15Z, and 21Z, with special advisories possible at any time, and these do not appear here.

The models available on this site are for educational purposes only. Meteorologists use these models along with many other tools in order to produce their forecasts. You can't simply look at these models alone and determine where a storm will go. Certain models are more applicable than others, but which ones are more applicable can only be determined by those who know how to use this data. One model is never always right. It is up to weather professionals to look at these models and see which ones are more applicable at the moment and use that knowledge along with the many other resources they have to come up with the best possible forecast. These models are provided for those who are interested in learning more about the tools that weather professionals use. They are not provided for any other reason.

For all official hurricane information, refer to the agency responsible for issuing forecasts in your basin.
DO NOT RELY ON ANY UNOFFICIAL SOURCES IN LIFE OR DEATH DECISIONS.


By using these models, you agree that this site is in no way responsible for the decisions you make based on these models. If you do not agree to this, you cannot use the models on our site.

Our system last checked for new data on Tuesday, September 16, 2014 17:00 Z.
It currently checks for data every 30 minutes.